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拜登危局|从“最亲以的美国总统”到被称“哈马斯之友”,拜登经历了啥?_我的网站

海边的曼彻斯特

一 |     

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China has firmly rejected and condemned a new annual report by the New Zealand Security Intelligence Service on Friday which once again fabricates and sensationalizes claims about so-called "Chinese interference" and "China threat," stressing that the report is rife with Cold War thinking and contains unfounded accusations against China.
This report is clearly linked to a series of recent negative developments in New Zealand's China-related policies, a Chinese expert told the Global Times on Friday. 
Recently, New Zealand has continuously toughened its rhetoric toward China, which to some extent reflects a form of "compensatory hawkishness" aimed at demonstrating its reliability within the Five Eyes alliance, Chen Hong, director of New Zealand Studies Centre, East China Normal University, told the Global Times. "Rather than reflecting 'strategic confidence,' this trend may reveal a sense of 'identity anxiety,'" Chen said. 
The New Zealand intelligence agency claimed in the report released on Thursday that China is the only nation pursuing espionage in New Zealand at scale, Radio New Zealand reported. It also claimed that such activity posed threat to New Zealand, which is the "most challenging of recent times."
Many of its unfounded accusations against China either maliciously label normal exchanges, communication and cooperation as so-called espionage or interference activities, or are simply baseless fabrications. China absolutely rejects and firmly opposes this, the Chinese Embassy in New Zealand said in a statement released on Friday. 
The release of this report at this time is part of a new round of attacks, smears and vilification of China orchestrated by certain international forces. In itself, the report may well be the result of foreign interference, the embassy said. 
In June, security agencies from the "Five Eyes" alliance issued a warning, claiming that Chinese spies used online job platforms to recruit people with access to sensitive information, according to a Reuters report.
For now, the annual report has further escalated its rhetoric, effectively creating a chain in which the Five Eyes' warnings and New Zealand's domestic threat assessments reinforce and echo each other, the Chinese expert said. 
The Lowy Institute said in a latest article on Thursday that New Zealand had long been considered the weakest link in Five Eyes and the easiest for China to try to cow. "But New Zealand has now called out China by name in its intelligence warnings so often that officials joke it has become tougher on Beijing than Australia is," the article said. 
The extent to which New Zealand's intelligence agencies have publicly singled out China has in fact gone further than Australia's, which, I think, represents a compensatory hardline posture, Chen noted. 
"New Zealand wants to demonstrate that it is a very active and very tough member of the Five Eyes. In fact, we have recently seen New Zealand take a high-profile stance on issues ranging from Pacific Island countries and China's relations with South Pacific and South China Sea nations to China's missile tests and other China-related issues. All of these developments can be viewed in the context of this policy shift," the expert said. 
This suggests that some forces within New Zealand's security and foreign policy establishment are consciously trying to demonstrate that New Zealand is not a weak link in the Five Eyes alliance, but rather an active participant, Chen added. 
The report also reflects the fact that some people both within and outside New Zealand do not want to see China-New Zealand relations develop positively. By going to great lengths to spread rumors, they seek to drive a wedge between the peoples of the two countries, create a chilling effect among the public, including overseas Chinese, undermine bilateral mutual trust, and obstruct the development of bilateral relations, the embassy noted. 
Their actions serve geopolitical purposes and the narrow, short-sighted political interests of certain forces. Their intentions are clear to anyone with insight, and their objectives will not succeed.
The embassy also noted that the essence of China-New Zealand relations is mutually beneficial cooperation and win-win outcomes. In recent years, with the joint efforts of both sides, bilateral relations have made steady progress. Bilateral trade has repeatedly reached new highs, bringing substantial income and employment opportunities to New Zealanders. 
People-to-people exchanges have continued to grow, with the numbers of tourists and international students increasing steadily, promoting mutual understanding and closer ties between the peoples of the two countries. The overseas Chinese community in New Zealand has played a unique and important positive role in this regard. 
Since China introduced a unilateral visa-free policy for New Zealand, many New Zealand tourists have visited China, witnessing firsthand China's development achievements and openness and inclusiveness, the embassy said. 
As a result of various factors, New Zealanders' understanding of China has become more comprehensive and objective in recent years, while favorable views of China and support for China-New Zealand relations have continued to rise
The embassy also warned those forces and individuals attempting to engage in political manipulation: Do not undermine the hard-won, mutually beneficial and win-win China-New Zealand relationship for your own selfish interests, thereby harming the interests of New Zealand and its people. 
Acting as pawns for anti-China forces internationally will ultimately prove counterproductive. Creating controversies in foreign relations will not solve New Zealand's problems; it will likely only make matters worse, the embassy said, urging these forces and individuals not to resort to desperate measures that will ultimately harm themselves, or lift a rock only to drop it on their own feet.
China attaches importance to its relations with New Zealand and is willing to work with the New Zealand side, on the basis of the consensus reached by the leaders of the two countries, to advance exchanges and cooperation in various fields, including political mutual trust, practical cooperation and people-to-people exchanges, and to better benefit the peoples of both countries, the embassy said. 
However, the development of China-New Zealand relations does not depend on China alone. We hope the New Zealand side will work in the same direction as China, rather than the opposite. Otherwise, the New Zealand side will bear responsibility for any consequences arising from such a course of action, it noted. 
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在巴以冲突爆发之初,拜登政府选择暂时抛开与内塔尼亚胡之间的立场分歧,坚定站在以色列一边,表示要捍卫以色列“自我防卫的权利”。不过随着冲突持续进行,特别是加沙平民的死伤惨重,逐渐让拜登政府与以色列之间的分歧不断加大。
▲5月8日,一门以军自行火炮向加沙地带开火 新华社发
真正的转折发生在以色列对加沙南部城市拉法进攻的前夕。据新华社报道,美国总统拜登5月8日表示,如果以色列军队进攻加沙地带南部城市拉法,美国将不会为其提供炸弹等武器,美方此前向以方提供的炸弹被用于杀害巴勒斯坦平民。这番表态一出,立刻引起轩然大波。不仅美国国内的议员痛批拜登成为“亲哈马斯”团体一员,以色列总理、大使、部长等高官纷纷发出猛烈抨击。
西北大学以色列研究中心主任王晋表示,美国政府手里并没有更多可以用来约束以色列行动的有效制裁手段,而且目前以色列社会内部意见较为统一,哪怕作为国际社会的“孤勇者”也希望将战争进行下去。
拜登当地时间5月8日在接受采访时表态称,如果以色列军队攻击拉法,他将停止向以色列提供进攻性武器,其中包括炮弹和精确制导炸弹。白宫方面也一再敦促内塔尼亚胡不要向拉法派遣部队,因为那里有超过100万巴勒斯坦平民在暴力事件中寻求庇护。
媒体分析指出,拜登的表态是在为以色列在拉法的军事行动“划红线”,也相当于承认美国在以色列对加沙地带的军事行动造成大量平民伤亡的过程中“扮演了一定角色”。

二 |

对此,佛罗里达州共和党参议员里克·斯科特在做客“福克斯与朋友”节目中被问到对拜登最新表态的反应时,斯科特表示,“拜登一切都是为了选举而表演,他的本性就是如此。

三 | 民主党里面有一个亲哈马斯团体,现在他也是其中一员了。

四 | ”

斯科特认为,拜登对加沙提供的援助将为联合国近东救济工程处提供支持,而该机构十几名工作人员被指控参与了哈马斯10月7日的袭击事件,美国国会中的几名共和党人敦促拜登政府停止向近东救济工程处提供资金。
“拜登显然站在哈马斯一边。”斯科特称,“他想要援助资金,这样他就可以将其提供给哈马斯。”
据报道,拜登在5月6日与以色列总理内塔尼亚胡通话约一个半小时。他当时提前告诉内塔尼亚胡,如果以军进入拉法,美国将停止向以色列国防军运送武器。

五 | 据了解谈话内容的消息人士称,内塔尼亚胡回答道,“如果有必要,我们将用指甲去战斗。”以色列高级官员证实,内塔尼亚胡的确有过这样的激烈言辞。

六 |

当地时间5月9日,在拜登公开了武器禁运的威胁之后,内塔尼亚胡又向以色列观众发表了视频讲话称,“如有必要,以军将用牙齿和指甲坚持战斗。”
以极端民族主义立场著称的以色列安全部长伊塔马尔·本·格维尔5月9日发布了一条带有心形图案推特,说哈马斯“喜欢”拜登,另外一名以色列政客也在视频频道节目中炮轰称,“现在美国在中东地区最好的朋友就是哈马斯了。”
一名以色列前官员对媒体表示,拜登的讲话震惊了以色列政府中的许多人,尤其是以色列国防军和安全部门。这名匿名的前官员说,以色列国防军内部对与拜登政府不断升级紧张关系非常担忧。以色列国防军发言人丹尼尔▪哈加里在新闻发布会上表示,以色列有足够的武器在拉法展开行动,与拜登政府的分歧则将在“密室”中闭门解决。
拜登和内塔尼亚胡的一个主要矛盾在于,美国方面希望以色列慎重考虑军事打击对平民的伤害,而以色列社会则对推进战争具有较强的决心。

七 |

王晋表示:“以色列肯定会坚持到底的,这是他国内舆论所所决定的。

八 | 从现在来看,以色列国内绝大部分人还是倾向于继续进行作战。尽管被孤立,但是他们还是要做那种‘战斗的孤勇者’,所以从这个角度看,恐怕很难说国际社会对它(以色列)的这种压力会奏效。”

▲5月8日,在拉法一名男子转移受伤的儿童 新华社发
至于拜登提出的武器禁运等制裁手段,王晋认为也会收效甚微。

九 | 王晋表示,其实美国方面的施压并不是从这一次开始,而是此前就逐步展开了,比如减少对以色列武器弹药(尤其是精确制导武器)的供应等。不过这些制裁动作对于以色列来说“只能算是外力”,无法从根本上动摇以色列社会的共识。王晋认为,美国后续也很难拿出更多有效的(对以色列)制裁手段。

十 | 所以总体来看,美国方面的制裁很难在短期内对以色列方面造成压力。

红星新闻记者 郑直  综合新华社 央视新闻

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